By: Chris Morrison
8th January 2020
The 2010s were colder than the 2000s and last year was only the 11th warmest since 2002, according to under-reported recent figures from the UK Met Office. How wise of the ecstatic green ravers to have retired “global warming” replacing it with last year’s exciting “climate emergency” and now high dosing with “CLIMATE BREAKDOWN”.
Of course the only thing breaking down is sanity in much of the mainstream media “science” reporting community. The BBC led the way with the Met Office official press release by parroting its main suggestion that a series of high temperature records were broken in 2019 concluding a “record-breaking decade”. Promoting long term harmful changes in climate by cherry picking so called individual records is about as unscientific as you can get. Last year’s record high of 38.7C was measured in the middle of Cambridge, a city that has grown by 40,000 over the last 40 years. Just outside the city and away from the urban heat effect, a similar measurement produced a temperature of only 38.2C.
Last year the average temperature of the UK was 9.42C, down from nearly 10C as recently as 2014. The figure was the third successive annual drop recorded. Surface temperature measurements can be dubious but similar falls in temperature have been recorded in the lower atmosphere by more accurate satellite measurements. These also show annual falls since 2016.
The planet is a large place. At any one time bits of it are hotter, colder, dryer and wetter than average. Countless “100-year” records are available to be cherry picked for countless purposes. In trying to assess long term climate trends they are more or less useless – mere cherries on the green political cake.
The world has been gently warming for about 200 years by around 1C. The start of the warming trend predates a more recent rise in atmospheric C02. Numerous scientists argue this has many natural causes including ocean warming and the release of some stored gas. In the geological past, CO2 levels have been up to 20 times higher without any evidence of a climate fireball. In the recent past, the medieval and Roman warming periods saw similar gentle beneficial heating to that experienced today over a similar time scale.
Little of this is discussed by the “settled” science brigade which is all in on the sudden 6C fireball theory taken directly from forecasts made by around 100 climate models that over 30 years have never been accurate. Evidence to the contrary, that the planet may even be entering cooling or flatlining, is ignored. Last year the Met Office produced a report that suggested the 200 year warming of 1.1C could rise to over 1.5C in just five years. Tucked away in the figures was a “get out of jail” low ball figure of 1.03C. The latter figure actually suggested cooling, but no prizes for guessing which figure dominated the headlines for days!
Of course the 1.5C temperature rise is the holy grail of climate hysteria – the dread “tipping point” when all of Greta’s nightmare fantasies come true. Those with a slightly longer memory recall Armageddon started at 2C, a figure that has no sound scientific basis whatsoever. Such a point was made in a 2010 article in Der Spiegal which identified Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, the director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, as the father of the 2C target.
The figure was quickly taken up by the IPCC and at the Copenhagen climate summit German environment minister Norbert Röntgen claimed that if it was exceeded “life on our planet, as we know it today, would no longer be possible”.
But of course the limit was all scientific nonsense – clearly a political goal. And who subsequently said that? – why Mr Schellnhuber himself who added:
“..the world will not come to an end right away in the event of stronger warming, nor are we definitely saved if warming is not as significant. The reality, of course is much more complicated”.
Presumably, Mr Schellnhuber was of the same mind when the IPCC further whipped up climate hysteria and reduced the figure in 2018 to 1.5C.
It is rather odd to worry about a degree or two of warming. Humans have only been around since the last major ice age started to lift. In geological terms we are still in an ice age – that is why there is still ice at the Poles. Glaciers have mostly been retreating since we walked the Earth. Ancient homo sapiens probably lamented that the Rhone valley no longer had the best skiing, but at least the food and wine had improved.
In fact as ice melts, compressed land rises often mitigating against higher sea levels. The American Great Lakes still show rises and falls in water level in different areas. Green scientists out to make a political point need to choose their investigation spots carefully. But land rises and falls for numerous reasons – many of the ancient English Channel ports are under water while the reputed later port home of the Virgin Mary, Ephesus, is now situated miles inland.
But none of this should get in the way of a good green horror story – there are children to frighten, green corporate pockets to fill, large grants to be granted and subsidies to be spent, virtue to be signalled, streets to blockade and mystic dances to be danced, Guardian donations and BBC taxes to be collected and new cult sandwich boards to be printed proclaiming the end of the world is nigh.
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